Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.183506 0.217859 0.256383 0.302716 0.356859 0.418056 0.492401
2025-06-01 0.133612 0.177882 0.232975 0.306285 0.400955 0.518738 0.676008
2025-06-08 0.100707 0.146276 0.207626 0.295667 0.418078 0.581446 0.815046
2025-06-15 0.084220 0.131398 0.199124 0.302452 0.454900 0.670057 0.994841
2025-06-22 0.070860 0.117784 0.189069 0.303815 0.482074 0.746108 1.163660
2025-06-29 0.059364 0.104591 0.176946 0.299236 0.498283 0.806182 1.313784
2025-07-06 0.050375 0.093683 0.166366 0.294843 0.513071 0.864228 1.465365
2025-07-13 0.045854 0.089518 0.166007 0.306722 0.554939 0.968493 1.700257
2025-07-20 0.043548 0.088868 0.171408 0.328846 0.616175 1.110068 2.010208
2025-07-27 0.040328 0.085922 0.172156 0.342482 0.663675 1.232526 2.298952
2025-08-03 0.035738 0.079510 0.165488 0.341325 0.683858 1.308703 2.513144
2025-08-10 0.030616 0.071149 0.153841 0.328942 0.681249 1.343027 2.654210
2025-08-17 0.025614 0.062427 0.140694 0.312793 0.671354 1.366428 2.784740
2025-08-24 0.023046 0.058693 0.137420 0.316617 0.702052 1.470928 3.082285
2025-08-31 0.019696 0.052510 0.127883 0.305674 0.700794 1.512416 3.260286
2025-09-07 0.018083 0.050211 0.126634 0.312676 0.738217 1.635090 3.613117
2025-09-14 0.016305 0.047162 0.123166 0.314083 0.763427 1.734836 3.928136
2025-09-21 0.014404 0.043421 0.117449 0.309358 0.774133 1.804682 4.186490
2025-09-28 0.012762 0.040060 0.112141 0.304825 0.784603 1.874809 4.451904
2025-10-05 0.012098 0.039348 0.113498 0.317082 0.836354 2.041594 4.946565
2025-10-12 0.011928 0.040060 0.118710 0.339908 0.916415 2.280118 5.624564
2025-10-19 0.011384 0.039539 0.120506 0.353975 0.976224 2.477243 6.224908
2025-10-26 0.010321 0.037179 0.116824 0.352782 0.997032 2.584271 6.624163